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Israel: ‘No Damage’ From WikiLeaks

Fears on Iran confirmed, but harm to U.S. prestige
could have long-term effects.

11/30/10
Israel Correspondent
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Tel Aviv — Before WikiLeaks’ release of several hundred U.S. diplomatic cables, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu downplayed expectations of embarrassment for Israel by predicting that the surprising revelations would come elsewhere in the Middle East.

“There’s a gap between what people say in private and in public. In the state of Israel the gaps aren’t that big, and in other countries in the region, the gaps are very, very big.”

Within hours, Netanyahu was proved correct.

Amid the international uproar over newly released WikiLeaks documents, Israeli officials capitalized on an unexpected public relations coup: confirmation that the specter of a nuclear Iran has Arab states just as frightened — and nearly as hawkish — as Israel.

“I don’t see any damage. Quite the opposite,” said Israeli Finance Minister Yuval Steinitz in an interview with Israel Radio. “Maybe there’s an indirect benefit that the truth is coming out, that the entire Middle East, including Arab states, are very fearful from the Iranian nuclear threat, and are calling on the West to be much more aggressive toward Iran.”

But beyond the momentary PR dividend, many analysts warned of long-term collateral damage for Israel because of the bruised standing of the U.S.

Over the weekend, there was a sense of foreboding in the Israeli press that the WikiLeaks’ cables would contain embarrassing remarks about Israeli leaders as well as secret Israeli intelligence, potentially complicating already strained relations with the U.S. over the peace process with the Palestinians.

But the speculation was replaced with a sense of relief when the first batch of cables were released.

Though there were some minor scoops — for instance, Egypt President Hosni Mubarak’s assessment of Netanyahu as charming but untrustworthy — officials and analysts agreed that the conversations divulged by WikiLeaks did not radically diverge from what Israelis already knew through their own media about their foreign relations. “Not sensational,” declared the headline of an editorial in the liberal Haaretz newspaper.

And on Monday, Netanyahu declared that “Israel wasn’t damaged” by the publication.

To be sure, reports of Arab fears of Iran had also been reported on and alluded to by government ministers. But the documentation of conversations with top Arab ministers who urged the U.S. to attack Iran gave the previously anonymous reports newfound weight on an international stage.

“It’s great news for Israel,” said Meir Javedanfar, an Iran expert based in Tel Aviv. “It shows that other countries in the region share Israel’s concern, and it’s not only in Jerusalem where there are hawks who want to attack Iran. There are also people in Riyadh.”

In the cables, Arab ministers from the Gulf warn the U.S. that the biggest threat to the region is the Iranian regime’s ambitions to recreate the Persian empire from antiquity. Israeli officials pointed to a U.S. diplomatic report in which Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad is compared to Hitler.

“If the WikiLeaks site did not exist, Israel would have to invent it,” wrote Sever Plocker, an columnist for the daily Yediot Ahronot newspaper. “The massive leak of American diplomatic telegrams indicates a single picture, sharp and clear: The entire world, not just Israel, is panicked over the Iranian nuclear program.”

However, Yoav Limor, the military affairs commentator for Channel 1, said the remarks of Arab leaders were best left behind closed doors. The WikiLeaks publication, he feared, will whip up public sentiment against the pro-Western Arab governments.

Other analysts said the dissonance between the public and confidential remarks of Arab countries is disturbing. Shlomo Avineri, a Hebrew University political science professor and former foreign ministry director general, said that while countries like Saudi Arabia argue in public that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is the biggest destabilizing factor for the region, in private, they consider Iran as a bigger strategic threat.

“Why is it worrying? Because they are our partners for peace,” he said.

Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak speculated that that the long-term effect of the WikiLeaks’ publication of the diplomatic cables would be a chill in the normal off-the-record dialogue between diplomats. Participants in those discussions will be more circumspect in the future, Barak said.

Israeli parliament members, meanwhile, demanded a discussion of whether Israeli bureaucrats’ communiqués are sufficiently secured. A spokesman for WikiLeaks told Israel Channel 2 news that there are about 9,000 cables relating to Israel that are going to made public. To date, only a few dozen have been released.

Last year, Anat Kam, a former soldier in the central command, was arrested for allegedly stealing 2,000 military documents.

Alon Liel, a former Israeli diplomat, said the WikiLeaks publication would usher in a “new era” in diplomacy in which it would become harder for the U.S. to gather information around the world.

The blow to the U.S. prestige, he and others concluded, would ultimately weaken Israel’s geopolitical position.

“It’s an earthquake that will affect American diplomacy, the readiness of sources to talk with American diplomats, it will affect the ability of America to gather information,” Liel said. “The fact that the U.S. doesn’t look good especially in the Middle East pushes us out of the region, and lowers the chances for Israel to become an integral part of the region.”

Javedanfar disagreed, arguing that the failure was limited to U.S. intelligence agencies and doesn’t reflect, as some have argued, the declining sway of the U.S.

“If anything it shows how the U.S. is being taken seriously as leading the global effort to stop Iran. Everybody is talking to the US, and that Washington is the go-to place, and that Obama has a lot of credibility.”

But other analysts countered that the WikiLeaks episode does indeed highlight a more general erosion of American power.

“This reinforces the broader view that the U.S. has lost the ability to protect its own interest and that of its allies,” he said. “Americans, who have been historically seen as being quick to adapt, are slow learners in a high-tech age and it’s dragging everyone down with them.”

Last Update:

12/03/2010 - 10:53

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The Wikileaks divulgences about Iran prove what cowards the various Arab dictatorships are. Why does not the petrified Egypt, Saudi Arabia with its US Military aircraft, Bahrain, and the other Arab dictatorships ally to confront Iran? How convenient to let the USA do their dirty work all because these Arabs countries are COWARDS. Israel has warned about the Iranian nuclear threat and would have done something had George Bush allowed them to do so after the 2008 election when Bush had nothing to lose by allowing the Israelis to handle Iran. Instead, Bush adamantly refused to cooperate with the Israelis by allowing Israel to use Iraqi airspace. Bush did not want to compromise his ties to the Arab dictatorships similar to his Father who has had a beneficial relationship with the Saudis and the UAE. Suddenly the Wikileaks information surfaces that not only reveals the Arab hatred and distrust of Iran, but also reveals how cowardly the Arab countries are that fail to be pro-active to handle the matter. If the USA were to do anything, these very same Arab regimes would condemn the USA for attacking a Moslem country--Iran--while being simultaneously relieved that the USA did their dirty work--so typical of the Arab regimes' hypocrisy. The question should be posed to the Arabs trembling about Iran, why are they too craven to use their respective military forces and resources to confront Iran? Is the reason that these Arab regimes must divert funds and efforts to squander to support chaos and corruption of the Palestinians--people who these very same Arab regimes also detest? What a bunch of blowhards the Arab countries are and how malfeasant George Bush was not to have acted to decimate Iran when he had the power to do so, but lacked the courage. Bush can blather all he wants during his book selling tours about how "wonderful" he was. The truth is that he did not have the guts to handle a matter that could have been handled with a positive conclusion--the destruction of Iran's nuclear capabilities. I suppose that for Bush it has been better to waste lives and treasure to civilize a couple of "garbage dumps"--Iraq and Afghanistan, which are hopeless, than to handle Iran, a problem that would be finished and would be history. Bush recalcitrance and Arab cowardice have been Iran's allies. It is not that Iran is so smart; it is acting while others permit it to do so with impunity. Furthermore, this disgraceful matter reprises 1936 when the French and British could have stopped Hitler but did nothing except appease him. The same failed policy applies to the modern Hitler, Ahmadinejad. The weak President Obama, the European Union, and Great Britain follow the 1936 game plan whose great successes were the catastrophe of World War II and the murder of 6-million Jewish people. Nobody ever learns anything, especially the Continental Europeans and Great Britain. Additionally, the US has a president who is the reincarnation of Neville Chamberlin with the consequence of abetting the Iranians.

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